Columbia River Fall Chinook
2006 Preseason forecasts

	2006	2005	2005
	February	Actual	February
STOCK GROUP	Forecasts	Returns	Forecasts
Lower River Hatchery Stock – LRH	55,800	78,300	74,100
Lower River Wild Stock – LRW	16,600	16,800	20,200
Bonneville Pool Hatchery Stock – BPH	50,000	93,100	114,100
Upriver Bright Stock – URB	253,900	268,700	352,200
Bonneville Upriver Bright - BUB	29,700	52,700	74,100
Pool Upright Bright - PUB	58,600	45,300	42,300
Columbia River Total	464,600	554,900	650,000

2006 Forecasts

• LRH - About half of recent five year average, and less than the ten year average.
• LRW - Similar to last year's return. Similar to the ten year average.
• BPH - About half of last years return and one half of the ten year average.
• URB - Strong return. Similar to last year's actual return. Slightly greater than recent ten year average.
• BUB - About half of last year's actual return. Slightly less than the recent 10 year average.
• PUB - Good return. Greater than 10-year average.
• Total forecast of 464,600 Columbia River fall chinook is similar to the recent 10-year average return.

February 9, 2006
Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife
U.S. v Oregon Technical Advisory Committee Sub-group