2007 Salmon Preliminary Returns and Outlook for 2008





Columbia River Salmon and Steelhead -
2008 Forecasts: Spring Chinook, Summer Chinook and Sockeye

 

2007
Forecast

2007
Return

2008
Forecast

Upriver Spring Chinook 1/

78,500

86,230

269,300

     Snake River Spring/Summer Chinook 2/

38,500

46,200

145,400

          Snake River Wild Spring/Summer Chinook 3/

13,100

10,600

21,100

     Upper Columbia Spring Chinook 2/

9,200

8,600

23,300

          Upper Columbia Wild Spring Chinook 4/

1,200

900

2,900

Upper Columbia Summer Chinook

45,600

37,200

52,000

Willamette Spring Chinook

52,000

40,468

34,000

Cowlitz, Kalama, Lewis River Spring Chinook6

15,900

 

 

Yakima Spring Chinook6

4,100

2,982

10,060

Klickitat Spring Chinook6

1,200

1,105

1,100

Wind6

2,100

4,272

 

Little White Salmon6

6,000

6,254

 

Sockeye5/

27,300

26,700

75,600

     Wenatchee Stock

6,600

4,400

13,700

     Okanogan Stock

20,700

23,300

61,200

     Snake River Sockeye

300

57

700

 

Steelhead

Wild Winter Steelhead

16,200

 

 

Summer Steelhead

 

 

 

     Skamania Hatchery

12,300

 

 

     Skamania Wild

4,400

 

 

     A-Index Hatchery

199,900

 

 

     A-Index Wild

41,600

 

 

     B-Index Hatchery

45,600

 

 

     B Index Wild

10,800

 

 

Total Summer Steelhead

314,600

 

 

1/ Includes Snake River Summer Chinook.
2/ Included in Upriver Spring Chinook number.
3/ Included in Snake River Spring/Summer Chinook number.
4/ Included in Upper Columbia Spring Chinook number.
5/ Includes Wenatchee, Okanogan, and Snake River stocks.
6/ To mouth of tributary

Prepared by:
U.S. v Oregon Technical Advisor Committee
December 10, 2007



Columbia River Fall Chinook 2008 Preseason Forecasts

Stock
Group 		2008
February Forecasts 		2007
Actual Returns 		2007
February Forecasts
Lower River Hatchery - LRH 59,000 32,700 54,900
Lower River Wild - LRW 3,800 4,300 10,100
Bonneville Pool Hatchery - BPH 87,200 14,600 21,800
Upriver Bright - URB 162,500 112,600 182,400
Bonneville Upriver Bright - BUB 26,400 24,300 38,500
Pool Upriver Bright - PUB 27,600 22,600 29,500
Columbia River Total 366,500 211,100 337,200

2008 Forecasts

  • LRH - Improved over past two years’ returns and 74% of the recent 10-year average.
  • LRW - Poor return. Second lowest return on record (since 1964).
  • BPH - Significant improvement over last two years’ returns. Similar to recent 10-year average.
  • URB - Strong return. 70% of the 10-year average.
  • BUB - Similar to last year’s actual return. 66% of the 10-year average.
  • PUB - Similar to last year’s actual return. 67% of the 10-year average.
  • Total forecast of 366,500 Columbia River fall Chinook is greater than last year’s forecast and actual return. 74% of the recent 10-year average return of 494,300.
February 14, 2008
Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife
U.S. v Oregon Technical Advisory Committee Sub-group




Columbia River Fall Chinook 2007 Preliminary Returns and Outlook for 2008

Lower River Hatchery Stock - LRH

  • 2007 return less than predicted and likely less than 35,000
  • Near average return of jacks in 2007
  • 2008 return should be better than 2007 actual return

Lower River Wild Stock - LRW

  • 2007 return was one of the poorest returns on record
  • 2008 return similar to 2007 return

Bonneville Pool Hatchery Stock - BPH

  • 2007 return less than predicted and likely less than 20,000
  • Strong return of jacks - about 40% greater than recent 10-year average
  • 2008 return much improved over recent two years

Upriver Bright Stock - URB

  • 2007 return continues downward trend seen since 2003 - near 100,000
  • Jacks above average
  • 2008 return should be greater than 2007 return

Mid-Columbia Bright Stock - MCB

  • 2007 return less than predicted and likely less than 30,000
  • 2008 return is likely similar to 2007 actual return

Total Columbia River Fall Chinook

  • 2007 return of near 200,000 - poor return year
  • 2008 return should be an improvement over 2007

December 6, 2007
Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife
Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife


Page last updated on: March 18,2008

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